Please join us for a lecture on.... Forecast 2030: Planning for a changing climate The roles of natural variability & human-driven change in near-term climate prediction Wednesday, June 25th at 6:00pm Given Institute Lecture Hall, 100 E. Francis Street in Aspen Presented by: Dr. Lisa Goddard, Research Scientist International Research Institute for Climate & Society at Columbia University Followed by a public wine & cheese reception. Call 970.925.7376 for more information.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

About the Lecture

Because the public has become so accustomed to seeing the increasing global mean temperature projections through the end of the 21st century, the importance of variability on time scales of years to decades is easily forgotten. Man-made climate change over the coming decades will not be realized in isolation, but in combination with natural variability. While it may seem counterintuitive, it is easier to predict the changes in our climate 100 years from now than it is to predict how the climate will change over the next 10-20 years. This stems from the fact that man-made climate change and naturally occurring decadal variability arise from different processes. This talk will address this important intersection between climate change and climate variability. Dr. Goddard will describe the processes, principally in the ocean, that give rise to decadal-scale variability, and the current and future prospects for predicting that variability.

About the Speaker

Lisa Goddard is a research scientist with the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), within Columbia Universityís Earth Institute, and an adjunct associate professor in the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at Columbia University. Dr. Goddardís research focuses on determining appropriate methodologies for providing climate information and predictions at timescales from years to centuries. Dr. Goddard received her Ph.D. in atmospheric and oceanic sciences from Princeton University in 1995. She then joined the climate forecast group of IRI, initially located at Scripps Institution of Oceanography and UCSD, and in 1999 moved to Columbia University. She currently sits on five national and international advisory panels for climate science.